The Media wants a failure, but..

 I'll cut to the chase: the right wing pundits are full of shit.

Trump has stated a zillion times that the goal with the air campaign is to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon.

Trump has also made it clear that he is not going to keep the Straight of Hormuz open by himself.

I never pay attention to the libtard media, but now it is the right-wing pundits who are claiming all sorts of crazy shit. Everyone seems to assume that Trump is a mental midget like Biden.

Trump is under no illusions about regime change. Trump knows it is unlikely America is going to find the cylinders of Uranium hexafluoride. He is also aware of war plan 99 course concept "escalation trap".

But Trump knows if Iran can't further enrich to 90%, they can't build a bomb small enough to deliver with a missile. Trump also knows that using 60% uranium 235 Iran can build a goofy-big bomb weighing about 20k lbs that could yield maybe 5kt. A bomb that could be moved by sea or a truck. For whatever reason, the pundits couldn't be bothered to at least run the idea by Grok before dismissing the risk.

When Trump used the word "imminent", he was right.

I'm not sure why, but it seems as though the right-wing is hoping Trump will screw up.

Messaging: Remember "low information voters"?

"Low information voters" entered our language in the run up to the 1996 Presidential election between incumbent Bill Clinton and challenger Senator Bob Dole. The media ran interviews of regular people, the most famous was a soccer mom who supported Bill Clinton saying "I don't trust him, but I think he's the better man for the job". Hence, "The soccer mom vote".

Assuming 2026 US population of 342 million:

• ~54 million people have an IQ of 85 or less
• ~233 million 85-115
• ~54 million with an IQ of 115 and above

According to Wikipedia, the US military will not accept or induct anyone below 83 IQ as they cannot be trained to successfully perform any job in the military.

The only requirements to vote are US citizenship and non-felon status.

All I know about the voting population is that ~156 million voted in 2024's Presidential election out of an eligible ~244 million (~65% turnout) voters.

I spewed all that intro as groundwork for the idea that campaign messaging needs to cover 3 IQ ranges.

Another idea is that the groups each have strengths and weaknesses:

• The 85 or less group will not respond to abstract concepts and will not understand academic language, but will respond strongly to verbal and visual appeals to justice and fairness regardless of truthfulness.
• The 85-115 group can  handle most abstract and advanced language, is suspicious of emotionalism but not likely to be knowledgeable of major issues.
• The 115+ group ignores appeals to emotionalism and switches off any dubious claims. Will not pay attention to logically unsupported positions.